Monday, 11 January 2016

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Tuesday, 5 January 2016

Stars Vs Hurricanes Preview


Melbourne Cricket Ground  - 8:40 GMT 6th January 2016

  • Looking at the ground stats for the MCG, there's not a lot that stands out; there's a perfect 50/50 distribution between winning when batting first and second, and not a huge influence of the toss on winning percentages. There have been some big chases though, with four of 179 or above. 
  • Using the new BBL05 team stats page, we can see the Stars haven't yet batted first so far this tournament, where the Hurricanes have in four of their five games. Their average score when batting first is 170, the second highest in the competition, but their mean power play score is relatively low at 38, and so it might pay anyone looking to back runs to wait until after the first 6. 
  • The Stars have struggled to put in the performances that would be expected from a side with the calibre of players that they have. The return of Kevin Pietersen after missing a game over christmas for the birth of his second child will be a boost, but he didn't look comfortable against the Renegades, making just 6. Luke Wright, after a poor start to the tournament hit an unbeaten 109 from 63 balls to guide the chase home, and his run line is a touch on the low side here. He's also worth backing for top bat, as the Hurricanes bowling doesn't offer a great deal, meaning wickets may be at a premium, and so the openers will likely see a lot of the bowling.
  • The Hurricanes have been a fairly inconsistent side so far in BBL05, particularly in the batting department, with their top order failing in the last game after looking like they had regained some form. Purely based on this inconsistency, a small back of Dan Christian for top run scorer at 8.5 is worth taking on, as he has top scored on two occasions, chipping in with vital runs at number six. 


Back Luke Wright for top Stars run scorer at 4.5 with Ladbrokes 
Back Luke Wright over 21.5 runs at 1.83 with Ladbrokes
Back Dan Christian for top Hurricanes run scorer at 8.5 with PaddyPower 

Strikers Vs Scorchers Review



  • A disappointing performance from the Scorchers saw them concede top spot to the Strikers, taking just two wickets and leaking 174 runs. Rare failures from openers Klinger and Marsh and a weak display from the middle order meant that they collapsed to 138 all out in reply. 
  • The Strikers put in a solid all-round performance here to beat the Scorchers for a second time this season, with Jayawaedene smashing a 37-ball 57 opening the batting, backed up by Travis Head, 51* (31), and Brad Hodge, 30* (15), who went big at the end after a slight stutter in the middle overs. 
  • This was a tough game for me personally, as Aston Agar bowled just two overs, and picked up one of the wickets, beating Behrendorff to to wicket taker, and failures by the Perth openers meant this was a bit of a washout. Taking overs on the Strikers early on, and buying Travis Head's runs in-play meant that I finished flat for the game. 
  • This Strikers batting looks very solid with Jayawardene opening and Head and Hodge coming in to accelerate in the middle order, and I'll be looking to keep them onside in their upcoming games. 
The Strikers play the Heat at the Gabba on 8th Jan

The Scorchers visit the Sydney Showground to take on the Thunder on 7th Jan

Monday, 4 January 2016

Strikers Vs Scorchers Preview


Adelaide Oval - 5th January 2016

  • The form side of the competition, the Scorchers, visit the Adelaide Oval to take on one of the more inconsistent sides in the Strikers, who claimed a win in the reverse fixture on 21st December. 
  • The Strikers have won three of their four so far, beating the Stars, Sixers and Scorchers, while losing to the Thunder having been dismissed for just 117.  This Scorchers side, however, will be their biggest test so far, having been untroubled in their three games since the loss to the Strikers. The Pre-match 1.87 available on a very thin Betfair exchange market looks big on the Scorchers, with low 1.7s a fairer price.
  • The Adelaide Oval has a slight bias towards the side batting first, with 58% of games being won by the defending side. Perth have a justified reputation as a side that can defend low totals, and so if they bat first there could be a good opportunity to lay the Strikers cheaply at the start of the chase. 
  • The Scorchers have two of the best batsmen and two of the best bowlers for Australian conditions and I'm happy to keep them onside here. As per my preview of Perth's last game, dutching Beherendorff and Tye for top bowler at a touch above evens looks amazing value, and well worth taking, with the 4.33 on offer from Ladbrokes on Beherendorff to be top wicket taker for the Scorchers far too big.
  • In their last three games, the Scorchers have lost just two wickets. Based on this and the excellent form of their openers, backing their overs and dutching for top bat is a play that I'm happy to take on here. 
Back the Scorchers at 1.87 on the Betfair Exchange 
Back Jason Beherendorff for top Scorchers bowler at 4.33 with Ladbrokes
Dutch Beherndorff and Tye for top Scorchers wicket taker for 2.08 with Ladbrokes
Back Michael Klinger over 24.5 runs at 1.83 with Ladbrokes
Back Shaun Marsh over 24.5 runs at 1.83 with Ladbrokes
Dutch Klinger and S Marsh for top Perth run scorer for 1.63 with Ladbrokes