Adelaide Oval - 5th January 2016
- The form side of the competition, the Scorchers, visit the Adelaide Oval to take on one of the more inconsistent sides in the Strikers, who claimed a win in the reverse fixture on 21st December.
- The Strikers have won three of their four so far, beating the Stars, Sixers and Scorchers, while losing to the Thunder having been dismissed for just 117. This Scorchers side, however, will be their biggest test so far, having been untroubled in their three games since the loss to the Strikers. The Pre-match 1.87 available on a very thin Betfair exchange market looks big on the Scorchers, with low 1.7s a fairer price.
- The Adelaide Oval has a slight bias towards the side batting first, with 58% of games being won by the defending side. Perth have a justified reputation as a side that can defend low totals, and so if they bat first there could be a good opportunity to lay the Strikers cheaply at the start of the chase.
- The Scorchers have two of the best batsmen and two of the best bowlers for Australian conditions and I'm happy to keep them onside here. As per my preview of Perth's last game, dutching Beherendorff and Tye for top bowler at a touch above evens looks amazing value, and well worth taking, with the 4.33 on offer from Ladbrokes on Beherendorff to be top wicket taker for the Scorchers far too big.
- In their last three games, the Scorchers have lost just two wickets. Based on this and the excellent form of their openers, backing their overs and dutching for top bat is a play that I'm happy to take on here.
Back the Scorchers at 1.87 on the Betfair Exchange
Back Jason Beherendorff for top Scorchers bowler at 4.33 with Ladbrokes
Back Michael Klinger over 24.5 runs at 1.83 with Ladbrokes
Back Shaun Marsh over 24.5 runs at 1.83 with Ladbrokes
No comments:
Post a Comment